Climate is a Chaotic System


By: Brooks A. Mick

I have, for many years, been saying that the linear models of the “scientists” who adhere to the manmade global warming theory cannot possibly mimic the non-linear, massively chaotic system that is the Earth’s climate. One only had to note that none of the climate models previously created were able to take data from the recent past and predict with any accuracy today’s weather or climate.

Now it appears that some scientists at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee have created a computer model based upon Chaos Theory which has proved remarkably accurate at shadowing the climate changes of the past century. Using “a math application known as synchronized chaos and applied it to climate data taken over the past 100 years.”

“Imagine that you have four synchronized swimmers and they are not holding hands and they do their program and everything is fine; now, if they begin to hold hands and hold hands tightly, most likely a slight error will destroy the synchronization. Well, we applied the same analogy to climate,” researcher Dr. Anastasios Tsonis said.

What they produced was a computer model which created trends that were remarkably congruent with real, observed climate, a computer model which did not require continuous “adjusting of parameters” to make it match reality, unlike the linear models of those championing manmade global warming. In scientific terms, one could say that the linear models require frequent fudging of data to bring them back in line with real weather.

One of the researchers, Dr. Anastasios Tsonis, says that the model has predicted quite well whether the Earth has been in a warming or cooling trend over the past 100 years for which more-or-less accurate data is available. Tsonis said. “The research team has found the warming trend of the past 30 years has stopped and in fact global temperatures have leveled off since 2001.”

Part of the research team’s goal has been to establish normal climate shifts so that any effects due to man can be discerned. “But if we don’t understand what is natural, I don’t think we can say much about what the humans are doing. So our interest is to understand — first the natural variability of climate — and then take it from there. So we were very excited when we realized a lot of changes in the past century from warmer to cooler and then back to warmer were all natural,” Tsonis said.

“ALL NATURAL.” Very interesting. “All natural” is apparently good when it is found on a granola cereal box, but the words cause panic among the global warming proponents, as they realize that much of their grant money may dry up if the greenfreaks find out that man is not the source of all evil in the world of weather.

My prediction has always been that we will need our parkas and mittens before we will all be wearing swimsuits.

Bibliography:

http://www.useless-knowledge.com/1234/apr/article335.html

http://www.uwm.edu/~kravtsov/downloads/GRL-Tsonis.pdf

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